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Thursday, March 24, 2011

EUR/USD & GBP/USD UPDATED 03/24/11





EUR/USD
The Downside Correction towards the 1.4105 area, after setting a fresh 20-week high at 1.4249. The bear wave needs to push below 1.4153 in order to expose the 1.618 Fibonacci extension target at 1.4105, but downside risk is limited at this stage. Bulls still remain in control of the short term while 1.4105 holds, and a push above 1.4218 would open the 1.4249 high again. The Nov. 4 reaction high at 1.4283 is the main upside target.


GBP/USD
Tuesday's strength leaves GBP in a good position to extend the recovery through resistance at 1.6401. Tuesday's highest close since December 2009 suggests there is scope for further gains to the January 2010 lower reaction high at 1.6458, and 1.6500. Corrective weakness has scope to the 1.6293 area, and only below there would defer the bullish outlook.

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